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免責聲明: 股票市場的價格可升亦可跌,投資者必需在投資前認清投資所帶來的風險。本文乃小弟之愚見,並不構成對任何股票買賣的要約、誘使等企圖。一切資料只供參考,如對任何因信賴或參考有關內容所導致的損失,概不負責。如對任何因信賴或參考有關內容所導致的利潤, 而能力所及, 請撥出一部份給慈善機構, 讓有需要的人分享你的喜悅

歡迎指教, 本人的電郵地址thomaswu0530@yahoo.com.hk但我更希望各位在網誌中留言
歡迎各位按下"寶貴意見"留言或提問, 本人必定回答
本人建議直接按此觀看以上editgrid. 你還有機會和網友直接"談股論市", 互相交流意見.
如果各位網友用Firefox 來開啟上述試算表會更暢順, Firefox 下載連結請按
本人新開論壇: 牛熊大戰, 歡迎登入發表意見

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2008年1月31日星期四

美國減息半厘

聯儲局繼續大力減息, 兩星期內兩度減息, 減左125個basis points
在我的理解, 議息減半厘, 會引起大市, 滙市及債市等出現一段受利率轉變影響的走勢
但今次前後減左125個bp, 債息固然持續下調
但滙市中, 美滙指數還未創下歷史新低. 難度歐元區的經濟將會受到次按風暴的衝擊?
日本歐洲加息機會甚微, 英國將繼續減息, 美元難道可以完全保住其價值?

而大市方面, 持續的減息已經不能令市場重拾升軌,
杜指兩年來都只能在約11000~14000區域上落, 美國股票市場的估值相對吸引
而香港在無好消息的情況下, 即使預期負利率的降臨,
大市亦回試250天移動平均線. 儘管如此, 我仍然認為現在只是牛市的調整

我在昨日沽出手上的16call, 不想在議息前持有窩輪.
等大市下調再買貨

附聯儲議息聲明:

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to lower its target for the federal funds rate 50 basis points to 3 percent.

Financial markets remain under considerable stress, and credit has tightened further for some businesses and households. Moreover, recent information indicates a deepening of the housing contraction as well as some softening in labor markets.

The Committee expects inflation to moderate in coming quarters, but it will be necessary to continue to monitor inflation developments carefully.

Today’s policy action, combined with those taken earlier, should help to promote moderate growth over time and to mitigate the risks to economic activity. However, downside risks to growth remain. The Committee will continue to assess the effects of financial and other developments on economic prospects and will act in a timely manner as needed to address those risks.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Frederic S. Mishkin; Sandra Pianalto; Charles I. Plosser; Gary H. Stern; and Kevin M. Warsh. Voting against was Richard W. Fisher, who preferred no change in the target for the federal funds rate at this meeting.

In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 50-basis-point decrease in the discount rate to 3-1/2 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, Kansas City, and San Francisco.

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